{"id":687024,"date":"2023-11-09T13:09:31","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T02:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/?p=687024"},"modified":"2023-12-08T10:01:51","modified_gmt":"2023-12-07T23:01:51","slug":"xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/","title":{"rendered":"XAUUSD Analysis \u2013 Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Golds safe haven status was reaffirmed as markets opened on the 9<sup>th<\/sup> of October to the news of conflict in the Middle East, this saw XAUUSD go on an impressive run, rallying almost 10%, breaking the psychological 2000 USD an ounce level and hitting 6-month highs.<\/p>\n<p>This week we have seen some of that risk premium unwind as reduced haven flows and profit takers are putting pressure on the price, this accelerated in Wednesday\u2019s session on news that a possible humanitarian pause is possible in the ongoing conflict.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows the strong relationship between the inverted US 10-Year yield and gold and is clear where haven demand and risk premium pushed gold higher away from the fundamental relationship it has with this yield (highlighted in orange box). This gives us a clue of where the fair value of gold is without the conflict driven buying. A trading opportunity for a \u201cgap fill\u201d trade of the inverted yield and the gold price opens up.<\/p>\n<p>Possible TP is a cross of the inverted yield and the price.<\/p>\n<p>Possible SL above the November highs<\/p>\n<p>(TradingView code for US 10-year yield is US10Y)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-403552\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/gold.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1818\" height=\"839\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Golds safe haven status was reaffirmed as markets opened on the 9th of October to the news of conflict in the Middle East, this saw XAUUSD go on an impressive run, rallying almost 10%, breaking the psychological 2000 USD an ounce level and hitting 6-month highs. This week we have seen some of that risk [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":48,"featured_media":687025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2875],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-687024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oil-metals-commodities"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>XAUUSD Analysis \u2013 Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds - Wixad<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"XAUUSD Analysis \u2013 Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds - Wixad\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Golds safe haven status was reaffirmed as markets opened on the 9th of October to the news of conflict in the Middle East, this saw XAUUSD go on an impressive run, rallying almost 10%, breaking the psychological 2000 USD an ounce level and hitting 6-month highs. This week we have seen some of that risk [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Wixad\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-09T02:09:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-12-07T23:01:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/AdobeStock_501478089.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"770\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"475\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Lachlan Meakin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Lachlan Meakin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Lachlan Meakin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/es\/#\/schema\/person\/3be9f4cfdfb1cf0fc5ca416d0ad05509\"},\"headline\":\"XAUUSD Analysis \u2013 Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-11-09T02:09:31+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-12-07T23:01:51+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\"},\"wordCount\":202,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/es\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/AdobeStock_501478089.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Oil, Metals, Soft Commodities\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/oil-metals-commodities\/xauusd-analysis-further-downside-in-gold-possible-as-risk-premium-unwinds\/\",\"name\":\"XAUUSD Analysis \u2013 Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds - 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This week we have seen some of that risk ","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/shares-and-indices\/disney-results-announced-the-stock-is-up-in-the-after-hours\/","type":"next","category":"shares-and-indices"},"previous":{"id":686826,"slug":"fx-analysis-audusd-stutters-after-rba-and-weak-chinese-data-usdjpy-back-above-150-testing-the-boj","title":"FX Analysis \u2013 AUDUSD stutters after RBA and weak Chinese data, USDJPY back above 150 testing the BoJ","date":"2023-11-08 13:15:23","excerpt":"Golds safe haven status was reaffirmed as markets opened on the 9th of October to the news of conflict in the Middle East, this saw XAUUSD go on an impressive run, rallying almost 10%, breaking the psychological 2000 USD an ounce level and hitting 6-month highs. This week we have seen some of that risk ","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-audusd-stutters-after-rba-and-weak-chinese-data-usdjpy-back-above-150-testing-the-boj\/","type":"previous","category":"forex-trading"},"category":{"slug":"oil-metals-commodities"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/48"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=687024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687024\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/687025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=687024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=687024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=687024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}